Heavy fuel oil M-1 NS
This is a heating fuel, not for vehicles.
These are the maximum permitted prices — retailers are allowed to sell below them.
View the decision (PDF)Forecast for the next decision
An estimate of where the price is heading, based on how the international markets have moved since the last decision. Not an ERC decision.
→ No change expected
- Expected range
- 48.28 – 50.35 MKD/kg
- Data so far
- 6 market days since the last decision
- Model accuracy
- ±1.03 MKD average error, measured across 37 past decisions
How it is calculated
The ERC rebuilds only the purchase cost each week — excise, margin, transport and the levies are carried forward unchanged. So the model forecasts that one component, tracking exchange-traded gasoline and diesel (RBOB and ULSD) priced in euro, since the denar is pegged to the euro. The price is then reassembled through the same structure the ERC publishes.
What the model cannot see
Excise is a policy decision, not a market price — the government changed it five times in the past year, often precisely to soften a price spike. When that happens, the forecast for that week will not hold.
This is Gorivo Metar’s own estimate, not an ERC decision. The official price is set by the ERC and may differ.
Price breakdown
The ERC publishes not only the final price but every component of it. So the breakdown below is arithmetic taken from the decision itself, not an estimate.
- Purchase cost77 %38.14
- Excise duty0 %0.10
- VAT15 %7.57
- Margin and storage6 %3.00
- Other2 %0.79
| Purchase cost | 77 % | 38.14 |
| Excise duty | 0 % | 0.10 |
| VAT | 15 % | 7.57 |
| Margin and storage | 6 % | 3.00 |
| Environmental levy | 0 % | 0.05 |
| Mandatory reserves | 1 % | 0.74 |
| Current price | 49.60 |
Recent decisions
Every ERC decision for Fuel oil over the past year.
The chart is stepped because the price is: it holds flat for a week, then jumps.
| Decision | In force from | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 49.60 | −0.28 | |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 49.88 | −0.20 | |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 50.08 | +1.84 | |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 48.24 | +2.24 | |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 46.00 | +1.59 | |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 44.41 | −1.17 | |
| 25 Aug 2026 | 45.58 | +1.85 | |
| 18 Aug 2026 | 43.73 | +0.19 | |
| 11 Aug 2026 | 43.54 | −2.88 | |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 46.42 | +5.19 | |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 41.23 | −0.27 | |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 41.49 | −0.80 | |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 42.29 | −5.01 |
The whole picture, in your pocket
The same data, plus everything that only makes sense on a phone: the nearest filling station, a trip calculator, and prices that still read with no signal. The app itself is in Macedonian.